As stated in last weekends analysis and newsletterfollowing the Dow's Friday close at that the Dow Jones Index had now fulfilled its bear market target of 6, as per the analysis of 20th Jan and illustrated by the chart below.

The primary focus hence forth was to "position for a bullish spike higher" that would CONFIRM the bear market low, and negate the secondary far less probable overshoot target of 5, to Charts Courtesy of Stockcharts.

However You Do NOT BUY a Falling Market, You wait for the Buy triggers as illustrated by last weeks price action, and warned off in last weekends analysis.

How this STEALTH bull market will consistently be recognised as just a bear market rally to sell into and NOT to accumulate into. The markets ARE manipulated, once you as a small investor come to agree with this statement then you can take the necessary steps to prevent yourself from being wiped out by ALWAYS keeping this in mind that Manipulated markets WANT you to act in a certain manner at certain times, they want you to buy into the latter stages of a bubble as the manipulators distribute, and the market manipulators want you to SELL into Market Bottoms and early bull rallies when the manipulators are accumulating.

Who are the market manipulators? Today it is the Investment banks, investment funds, CEO's stock options and last but not least HEDGE FUNDS that created the stocks bubble through leverage of X20 or more that subsequently bankrupted the banks that were driven insane by short-term greed with trillions of dollars of liabilities which have NOW been fraudulently dumped onto the tax payers. I have not heard a single story of a hedge fund manager losing money, not one! They have BANKED their profits! The losers are their investors who held on and the banks who leveraged them up to the tune of tens of trillions, and in the final instance the Tax payers who are being FORCED to bail out the bankrupt banks to the tunes of tens of trillions!

The hedge funds HAVE PROFITED FROM THE CRASH - Because they manipulated the bubble higher and then manipulated the crash, HOW? Its in plain sight, they sold the banks short into price oblivion, remember Bear Stearns? Hedge funds shorted the stock and then pulled their money out i.

Hedge funds manipulated the markets by magnifying the crisis of confidence. Targeting bank after bank after bank whilst raking in huge returns as I have repeatedly warned over a year, as our very own HBOS fell victim to hedge fund shenanigans in March Unfortunately whilst the FSA regulator talked the talk about doing something about it they in actual fact did NOTHING! Had the regulators acted then the close call with Financial Armageddon of September could have been averted as Hedge funds would have been forced into a strategy other than picking off the banks one by one!

This just confirms that the regulators on both sides of the Atlantic do not have a clue as to what they are doing and probably never will as they are always playing catchup to the market manipulators. The bursting of the bubble after the pools of manipulated monies have taken their cash off the table has subsequently wiped out the value of the all stocks to bargain basement levels. However this now means that the unregulated hedge funds are at it again accumulating towards the NEXT mega STEALTH bull market.

Why is it a stealth bull market? Because everyone, and I MEAN literally everyone is CALLING THIS A BEAR MARKET RALLY TO AVOID BUYING INTO! Everyone has given up. When in effect THIS IS HIGHLY PROBABLY THE MARKET BOTTOM! To get the latest state of the Stealth Bull Market - Make sure to subscribe to my free newsletter. Yes I am aware of the on-going corporate earnings contraction forecasts that SUGGEST stocks should be going MUCH lower, though some of the estimates of where the market should be heading to are pretty ridiculous, were talking ridiculous price levels of as low as DJIA !

However the stocks bull market was also elevated to Dow 14, on the basis of corporate EARNINGS forecasts that suggested that Stocks should go MUCH HIGHER. So what does that tell you? It tells you that what you tend to read is always suggestive of the JUNCTURE being FAR AWAY, NOT imminent. Similarly wide spread consensus today exists for SHARPLY LOWER CORPORATE EARNINGS going into THAT MUST MEAN MUCH LOWER STOCK PRICES.

However this earnings analysis that is so abundant today, should have been presented OVER A YEAR AGO! So that ordinary investors could actually ACT on the information. NOT NOW AT THE MARKET BOTTOM! We are again seeing REASONS as to WHY INVESTORS should avoid investing INTO the Stealth Bull market! As it is always much easier to build a scenario in favour of a trend that has been in force for sometime that has generated much data and analysis in support of why it exists and therefore it should continue for much longer, then to "Think Out side of the Box" to disregard bearish data that has been magnified by the growing consensus that really should have been known more than a year earlier in favour of the technical picture that as the analysis of October stated, that a.

The stocks bear market HAS fulfilled its bear market objectives in terms of price and timemore than anyone could have been imagined a year ago! But now, even after the stock price wipeout to below Dow 6, The analytical weight bearing down of overwhelming information is that in support of a continuing meltdown for even as long as several more years towards Dow targets such as 4, or even as low as by what can only be termed as perma-bear psychology.

Remember Dow 14, NO ONE PAID ATTENTION to the perma-bears at that time. As the market was firmly in grip of the perma-bull psychology which was eyeing Goldilocks levels of 18, In fact I pointed out in November that investors should get out of china AT SSE 6, and to forget SSE 9, its going straight down towards an initial target of 4, Therefore repeating the same mistakes that occur at ALL market Junctures!

Which is DATA is PUT AHEAD of PRICE! To which my answer is this - What are you trading? Are you trading the Corporate Earnings Data or the actual Stock Index?

The only thing that actually matters is the PRICE! Not earnings, Not fundamentals. Listen to the PRICE or you WILL miss the Stealth Bull Market! Off course there is a downside risk to the new fledgling bull marketas I warned of in February that their exists the chance of a overshoot to the downside towards a target of 5, toforecasting is a measure of probabilities where you watch to see of if the market shows strength or weakness against the original forecast which is the primary purpose of the forecast.

However, as I pointed out last weekend at Dowthis secondary target is an overshoot to the existing target which has been fulfilled, and therefore the expectations were for a bullish spike higher that would give the necessary buy triggers. The buy triggers and bullish spike higher OCCURED during the subsequent week which CONFIRMED the market bottom. Now what the stealth bull market needs to do is put an even greater distance between itself and the market low to further reinforce the market bottom.

Therefore the strategy is of accumulating on reinforcing buy triggers, whilst liquidating on non confirming bearish triggers that reinforce the secondary target. I am afraid there is no crystal ball, therefore one needs to rely on re-acting to the actual price movements as manifested by the buy and sell price triggers and price trend against the forecast scenerio.

At this point in time the market is strongly confirming the bear market low. However the short-term overbought state does necessitate corrective action towards the support zone illustrated above to provide for a healthy stealthy bull market.

In Summary - We have in all probability seen THE stocks bear market bottom atwhich is evident in the fact that few are taking the current rally seriously instead viewing it as an opportunity to SELL INTOWhich is exactly what the market manipulators and smart money desires. They do not want the small investors carrying heavy losses of the past 18 months to accumulate here, No they want the not so smart money to SELL into the rally so that more can accumulated at near rock bottom prices!

Therefore watch for much more continuous commentary of HOW this is BEAR MARKET RALLY THAT IS TO BE SOLD INTO as the Stealth Bull Market gathers steam. My Favourite Trading tool? No its, not Gann, Elliott waves or any other technical tool, my best tool by far has to be the STOP LOSS.

The second most important is the Stop and Reverse SAR. What does this mean? Well it means that in the final analysis all one needs to trade is entry, reversal triggers and stop loss levels. Let me elaborate - All entries must be based on an entry trigger, i. No, and neither do I intend on doing so in the future. This would be a sure way to destroy my trading confidence and trading ability as it would reintroduce and magnify psychological responses into to the act of trading.

Each individual trade should NOT invoke any significant emotional response due to the fact that there will also be many losing trades as well as winning trades, I understand this! But would ALL subscribers? Off course the inevitable outcome would be that I would cease trading as the confidence of pulling the triggers would be gone and just become a trading signal peddler, but with that would go the 'edge' of really trying to understand the markets.

What readers need to do is to EDUCATE themselves into becoming successful traders rather than rely on the signals of others. In this regard I do plan on sharing my whole trading methodology, via a book and freely at walayatstreet.

To receive my analysis in your email inbox make sure to subscribe to my Always FREE Newsletter. Strategy here rather than stock picks. The strategy is clear, to accumulate stocks with stop losses in the decimated long-term growth sectors, the mega-trend sectors remain as I pointed in the October article are the Energy sector, that's crude oil and natural gas hit fresh lowsWater and Agricultural Commodities, add to that Biotech, Health and Tech stocks.

Continue to avoid the financials, they are insolvent. It appears the central banks are attempting to fiddle the books with regards proposed 'changes' to mark to market valuations so as to give the illusion of solvency. Again remember to use stop losses on ALL positions. For you only get stopped out if you are wrong. ONLY in the direction of the position. It is such a strategy that turns a portfolio to cash during a bear market without seeing bull market profits turn into bear market losses.

So please post in full rather than subvert the message to mean the exact opposite of that which was intended. By Nadeem Walayat http: Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the Crash.

Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. We present in-depth analysis from over experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction.

The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Bull Market | Future Money Trends

Attention Editors and Publishers! Republished articles must include attribution to the author and links back to the http: Please send an email to republish marketoracle. If you enjoy masochistic self torture, then by all means, start buying for a bull run. Note - The FTSE is in synch with the Dow and therefore will follow a similar trend, i. Thank you for posting your "Stealth Bull Market Follows Dow Bear 6, Bottom" article.

Also thanks in advance for reading my email. In the two years that I've traded, all I've learned is that in a bear market supports don't hold, and resistance is nothing but a dream number. I've learned that if I'm patient, new buy targets will hit. Unfortunately I've been bullish or call it foolish, or naive during all of the two years and got hurt.

Just recently I started to become a bit more conservative. It will be hard for me to start putting my new guard aside, but at the same time I also don't want to make the same mistake in the opposite direction and sell my stocks too early. I am a first-time investor who has been reading a huge amount without investing for about six months now. However, one thing puzzles me: For example, for months you have expressed confidence that the Dow will bottom somewhere around - but why this figure?

Why not, say, ? Initially, you thought that the level would be reached around July. Now that it has been reached four months early, I find it interesting that you stand by this figure, rather than revising your forecast downward to reflect the steepness of the decline.

What makes you so confident about the figure? Or, for that matter, about pound-dollar parity? Your macro-analyses are fascinating, but by themselves they do not explain these relatively specific figures. I would love to know where you get such figures from - especially when, as now, they outright contradict the majority view. The forecasts are born out of accumulative ongoing inter market analysis and not a single piece of work.

Again the purpose is not really to be exactly spot on, though after ones done thousands the skill improves over the decades, the purpose of the forecasts is to give me a clear road map against which to measure strength and weakness when trading. The Dow forecast trend to 6, proved extremely clear cut and profitable, i. However the forecast DID focus my attention on getting prepared to GO LONG, without any further analysis. All I needed to identify were the buy triggers and buy, with the trailing stop triggers behind entry.

You see the problem with much of what you read on the web, is that it is NOT WRITTEN BY SUCESSFUL TRADERS! As the tendency is to ramble on with IF's and BUT's but whats needed when trading is clarity, that THIS IS the forecast, now where is the price relative to the forecast, and hence do I accumulate or liquidate the direction I am exposed to. I will cover my methodology honed over the past 2 decades in depth in a book that I eventually hope to write.

Nadeem, thanks for your honesty, the average person that owns stocks has no clue. They are told by some broker to buy a stock and then they are left in the dark. It has been a traders market for years now. The old days of buy and hold for decades that are parents lived thru is gone forever. The hedge fund traders will see to that. Stop losses is the only way to survive in the stock market of today.

Also, learn how to sell short. Its really how they are doing these days. Keep up the good work. You are providing people with the truth. Profits corporate declining with no inflexion point even though banks may post cosmetic profits through TARP reserve growth. The act of writing articles is an act of positive reinforcement for myself, it actually forces me to think deeper on the subject then I would otherwise have done had I solely focussed on just trading.

The net outcome of which is better trade and and broader investment decisions. Before the oracle, I would not have done indepth analysis on say house prices as there would be no point in spending weeks on weighing up the various possibilities just for my own benefit, therefore the oracle induces me to do this work which results in better investment decisions.

I have no desire to turn towards a subscription type service, NONE, as I understand TOO WELL what would happen! The oracle primarily exists to propogate and evolve into? We'll we shall see ;but the journey is certainly compelling, like watching a child grow: My name is Matt and I'm a trader in Santa Monica CA.

I have been following your analysis for the past year and a half and i want to commend you on your abilities in forecasting. Truly great stuff and I look forward to reading more. I have a question though. I know back in early winter your forecast was for the Dow to hitwhich it did, but that it would take until July to get there. Then on Feb 25 your forecast was for a March ibd new stock market ideas tofollowed by a more severe downturn to stockbrokers sydney nswand THEN followed by a long term rally after July or so.

However after reading you latest short call long put option strategy saying you are now predicting a long term stealth bull market, I'm slightly confused as to whether now that the Dow has rebounded to nearif it will then fall to like your original forecast predicted into July or just continue to keep going up in a full out stealth bull market without a retest of the most recent lows?

Anything you can offer earn money sms sending without invest be great and keep up the good work! The primary target was 6, by midagainst which I measured strength or weakness to evaluate the market for real-time trading purposes, i. In February I started to see signs that market was going to make some sort of a low given the severe price decline, at hedge forex position time I interpreted this as a correction, which therefore implied eventually much lower prices.

Subsequent bearish price action going into March negated this as instead of rallying the dow fell, this confirmed the primary target and therefore suggested the low was imminent rather than later on, which I pointed out in the article of 8th March, before the first confirming buy trigger occurred at Unfortunately, even though Review of binary options grand capital wish I had a crystal ball, I don't so it is a case of looking for strength or weakness against forecast road maps, rather than trying to get it exactly right.

As the primary purpose is in committing to high probability trades in a decisive manner. So the forecast has to be STRONG, DECSIVE in expectations rather than weak double speak that a lot of analysts tend to overseas forex trading meaning. IT IS the LOW and IT WILL Spike much best buy kindle in stockton ca. Therefore I WILL Buy on the price triggers.

I will write a book to illustrate my trading methodology because in retail off-exchange forex examination (series 34) fact forecasting is not at the core, and in fact there have been periods of time when I have traded WITHOUT any road maps, but they eventually creep back in as they give that extra edge i.

I used to visit philsgang. Learn to trade based on your own signals! From your writing, its obvious that you're writing from the perspective of a trader, rather than an analyst who has no money at stake. You mentioned writing a book!

Pls let me know how I can get job opportunities for msc computer science freshers of a copy once its published.

It'd be interesting to see whatever aspects of your trading methodology you're willing to share. The climate following September has been a traders market, the only way to invest into it was when the bear market hit new lows as I pointed out in Octobers analysis, i. Though it will not teach you how to forecast, as I don't believe it can be taught, forecasting is akin to composing music, whilst it is easy to play whats already been done but much more difficult to compose a new piece. The key is that forecasting ability comes out of already trading successfully, and not the other way round that many seem to assume.

Therefore forecasting is not necessary and is the so called icing on the cake. Well Nadeem,i miss the rally,i read your article too late. Now Dow jones is points. Can you please alert us on the next correction? How low do you think it will go? However, my focus both in terms of trading and analysis for the past 2 months has been the stock indices so will focus on stocks for the next analysis email out in durng the next few days. Stealth Stocks Bull Market, Sell in May and Go Away? To answer many requests for an update to may last article 5th April 09 of where next, this is therefore an interim update that aims to give my immediate term view on where the stock market could be heading.

The full in depth analysis that will aim to map out the trend for several months will follow later, to receive this you email in box make sure to subscribe to my always free newsletter.

Stealth Stocks Bull Market Analysis Recap - Consistency and Certainty. Stocks Bear market The stocks stealth bull market update 2016 forecast - 20th Jan - Target 6, Stocks Bear Market Target Fulfilled - 8th March - Dow Stocks Stealth Bull Market Born - 15th March - Dow Bear Market Bottom confirmed on multiple buy triggers during the week - Warning to ignore the fundamentals or should I say fundamentalism, bearish commentary and in many cases double speak in favour to reacting to the ACTUAL PRICE movements.

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Closes above Dow 8, - 5th April - Psychology of investing and trading. There is no point everyone seeing the rally in a the rear view mirror if FEAR kept them from monetizing on it!

Getting straight to the point. Therefore the only question now is how deep could the downtrend be, in that regard we have price points, retracement levels, and the MACD indicator to look at. MACD - The MACD indicator cross has given a SELL signal, at best this means sideways price action, but more probably a significant downtrend that will seek to correct the up trend from Dow Trend Analysis - The rally has been strong AND powerful, but it is showing signs of running out of steam, this is evidenced by the shrinking gap between each up thrust following each correction with the most recent correction 'so far' failing to break to a new trend high which gives a risk of a lower high.

The rally is tired folks, it needs to take a break.

Therefore the minimum correction from the current swing peak is expected to carry between 7, to 7, Price Points - Immediate support levels are 7,and then 7, For the health of the stealth stocks bull market a correction should not carry below 7, this therefore implies support in the region of 7, to 7, Overhead resistance is clearly first at 8, then 8,; with major resistance in the area 8, to 9, This implies the current upswing should continue into the area of between 8, to 8, with probability favouring 8, Elliott Wave - My elliot wave interpretation implies that the market should continue rallying for another to 3 weeks to mark the end of the first impulse major wave towards 9, Swine Flu Black Swan?

There is a good probability that the financial markets will discount the worst case scenario along the lines of avian flu a few years ago early next week, therefore this brings in an immediate bearish earn tetris cash for free against what looked set as a continuing rally into early May which implies greater volatility than expected depending on the progress of the virus.

Though amidst the overall gloom big pharma that produce treatments should rally. Conclusion - Immediate term conflicting analysis, will there be a continuing rally into early May or not? If fails early week that implies Dow 7, So just as the herd is starting to pile in the smart money will be positioning for a significant correction and importantly the move will be TRADEABLE, none of these 1 or 2 how do i get money from adsense falls that have suckered the bears in during the rally, but for a sustained down trend though swine flu may bring this forward to the start of the week.

Note this is an interim update, my in depth analysis will attempt to more accurately map out the Dow swings of several months so make sure your subscribed to my always FREE newsletter to get this on the day of publication.

To post a Comment on this article click here. Want Pages of Forecasts and Analysis on ALL Major World Markets? Download Nowhurry this offer ends soon. Its seems cable is shrugging off all negative fundamental news just like what you stated for stock stealth bull run. Stocks Stealth Bull Market Quick Update. In response to a dozen email requests, this is a quick update to the ongoing Stocks Stealth Bull Market that began in early March My in depth analysis for the stock the stocks stealth bull market update 2016 that projects a trend for several months will follow my UK economy forecast updateto receive these on the day of publication make sure your subscribed to my always free newsletter.

Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6, :: The Market Oracle ::

Quick Technical Analysis - The Dow spent early June distributing along 8, which gave plenty of stock market bank futures to put on short positions with tight stops. The key chart trigger was the lower high at 8, which targeted a break of 8, The pattern size is points which projects to 7, before the next expected bounce.

The chart is also showing an head and shoulders price pattern witch the same measuring move. Conclusion - The Diamond forex signals review is still projecting towards a target of around 7, as indicated in the chart above, which I am sure will be taken by the perma-bears as proof that the whole move from March was just a bear market rally, JUST AT THE POINT WHERE I EXPECT THE STOCKS STEALTH BULL MARKET TO RESUME!.

The in depth update to the stealth stocks bull market will follow towards the end of this month, to ensure you receive this in your email box subscribe to my always free how to make money in escrow. However reminding readers of what I stated in Mid March. Wide spread consensus today exists for SHARPLY LOWER CORPORATE EARNINGS going into THAT MUST MEAN MUCH LOWER Blackberry bold call log settings PRICES.

Make a note of graphs like these as by year end everything has been revised higher and previous corporate earnings projections conveniently forgotten, off course by that time the market will have already moved.

Remember you are trading the price and NOT the earnings forecasts which are a red herring! Trading Signals - Whilst my analysis usually tends carry clear conclusions, however I have refrained from sharing my actual trading signals to date for a number of reasons which I have touched on in past articles.

Good news, I will be sharing my actual precise position trading signals for free mirror forex pvt ltd noida WalayatStreet. First let me say that You have been one of the best that is featured on this site for at least a year. Next let me say that we are in a Depressionary process and money is not getting into the hands of consumers Sure the unemployment U3 will likely peak All forecasts are in the end of the day best guesses, however, watching what the manipulators are upto or want gives one insight.

The price action following the SELL signals earlier this month can only be described as a VICIOUS BEAR TRAP! Even though rising prices for a bull during the stealth bull market is good, however, the vicious rally FOLLOWING Clear Technical SELL Bombay stock exchange market timings is something that signals alarm bells, as while it can be entertaining forbes top earning american idol alumni gloat at the crushing of the bears, however when I look in the mirror, I have to wonder will I be next to be caught in a vicious BULL TRAP!

This is a vicious market and whether one is a bull or a bear one NEEDS to be on their guard as the consequences of getting sucked into TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, as opposed to REAL TRADING i. REACTING to Price movements in REAL TIME, could easily wipe traders out. More on REAL TRADING in my site walayatstreet. Back to the stock market, let's dissect what happened, the precise point where the summer correction scenario abruptly terminated and where we are heading to next:.

The Dow hit the target on 2nd of June capital gains tax on forex trading was confirmed in the quick update at the timeand therefore expectations were for the significant correction to materialise. Analysis of of 7th July - The Dow spent early June distributing along 8, which gave plenty of time to put on short positions with tight stops.

The chart also showed a head and shoulders price pattern job opportunities for msc computer science freshers a similar measuring move.

The conclusion was that the Dow was still projecting towards a target of 7, to suck in more traders on the bear side before the resumption of the how to get a lot of money in nfs most wanted ps2 stocks bull market.

The Mega-trend remained for the stocks stealth bull market to move towards a target of 9, by the end of this year. As I have voiced throughout the year at key market turning points to ignore the fundamentals and listen to the price, as you are trading the price not the data!

Still the price re-action observed was not something that could have been anticipated by anyone, rather only reacted to in real time trading environment.

Near point moves spread over just over a week makes this a great traders market but is it still a forecasters market?

I have say it is tough to call a market as vicious as this but my existing analysis as of March 09 is for a rally to for the Dow this year, the price action to date is inline with this expectation. So taking into account that this is a potentially very vicious market here is my analysis. TREND ANALYSIS - The rally off of 8, has been strong and powerful and could carry for some more points before correcting. The key change to the behaviour of the trend is the development of a new primary trend line that should now contain all corrections and in fact projects towards 9, into December Therefore implying that we could see the Dow touch this line several times during the year.

The anticipated immediate correction is expected to bounce off of this line. The heavy consolidation area between 8, and 8, is indicative of further price action in this range which is suggestive of the Dow spending further significant time in this zone for several months. This is suggestive of more sharp rallies followed by downtrends back into this price zone for some months.

Key support is at a break of which would negate this scenario. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - Elliott wave count is straight forward and has not changed since the Stock market bottomed in March. The abc correction followed by the strong rally, is highly suggestive of an impulse wave 1, therefore implying a bull run of similar magnitude of the rally from towhich projects to 10, that's significantly above the original target of 9, MACD - the MACD indicator cross has signaled a buy, which is supportive of an overall bullish trend, though not at a particularly oversold level therefore implying that the trend will be more volatile and laboured ps3 in stock best buy bundles that of the rally from to As well as signaling that the eventual peak may set the market up for a more significant decline.

CYCLES - The bull market is suggestive of a 3 months up, 1 month down overall cycle pattern, this suggests a target of late October for the rally peak before a more significant correction takes place. SEASONAL TREND - The seasonal trend should be for stocks to decline into early September, therefore this is contrary to the building scenario.

However in the final analysis one is trading the stock market and NOT the economic data, so yes reasons can always be found, but when it comes to actual trading they are irrelevant, especially at market junctures. EARNINGS - Analysts are surprised! It has to go somewhere and we are seeing it the profit surprises in master market manipulators of Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan. Don't forget this is a BULL MARKET, All corrections are to get sucker money in on the short-side as an enable for a larger more profitable subsequent rally.

Key danger areas for this scenario are a. To keep up to date on the state of the stealth stocks bull market, ensure your subscribed to my always free newsletter. The weeks price action on the major direct line stock market flotation once more illustrated the dangers options futures and other derivatives hull pdf letting emotions influence ones judgment when it comes to trading and investing.

Which was never more evident than during the early week correction that once more suckered many bearish commentators into calling an end to the 'bear' market rally, right from the top of the analysts food chain right through to the bottom. Again nothing new was called on to justify FIGHTING against the trend other than scottrade level 2 options to the 's depression era rally!

Well Shall I let you into a little secret? Look, I beat the GREAT CRASH! Yes that still means ! After all it all seemed highly convincing, so I fought against what I had actually made me a fortune during the crash and continued to view each post crash peak as a shorting opportunity for a good year!

Much as the bears are doing so today! This is and NOT ! It is ALWAYS DIFFERENT EACH TIME! If your finding yourself keep shorting this rally then you seriously need reappraise as to why you are fighting against the price by means of the diffusion responsibility onto indicators, fundamentals, theories, historical patterns and such like which is not what you are actually trading!

It is simple, you stick to the direction that increases your account balance! Don't try to THINK to hard about it! It is THINKING that will be your downfall. Where trading is concerned, THINKING is not good, in fact if you THINK too much you may wake up one day some years down the road to wonder, what the hell have I been doing for the past 3 years???? I have learned all these wonderful theories that produce diddly squat when it comes to actually making money! Here's a tip for if your stuck in a losing streak, SCRAP everything you know and use a coin toss to pick the direction, then focus on the proper application of money management i.

I demonstrated the winning coin toss trading system 5 years ago on in REAL TIME on moneytec. Also ensure to bookmark walayatstreet. Stocks Stealth Bull Market Road Map into October - July 23rd Conclusion. The Price action to date has shown relative strength against the forecast of a month ago, this suggests a higher target than the original to 10K before the end of Octthe secondary stated target was 10, However it also suggests that the market may put in an earlier peak.

I am still leaning towards the next correction AFTER the peak to be of greater significance than the last correction from June to July. Also, whilst my in depth economic analysis is on the UK economy, however much of the conclusions could equally be applied to other western economies, the analysis of February has been projecting towards a a DOUBLE DIP recession updated June 09 which has negative implications for stocks duringbut for now DON'T be silly, don't fight the stocks bull market time to drop the word stealth.

To keep up to date on the state of the stocks bull market, ensure your subscribed to my always free newsletter. Robert Prechter in his latest 10 page Elliott Wave Theorist Newsletter states that financial crisis is NOT over and gives a warning he's never had to include in 30 years of analysisRead it now for free!. The market subsequently peaked in the middle of the target zone and began a correction which took the Dow down to 9, This was soon followed by surprisingly quick and powerful reversal to the upside that that lifted the Dow to above 10, peaking at 10, Readers of my weekly newsletters will know that I was skeptical of this phase of the bull market because it had not allowed both enough time and price to correct the preceding advance and therefore was not seen as being sustainable.

It is only that many analysts don't follow the rules! Instead much rather prefer to re-write history. Forget swine flu, the pandemic doing the rounds is that of another Crash with the 's chart dusted down and presented as near fact of what is to transpire on every correction. However the markets response has so far always been to push to a new high for the move.

What happens to the crash calls? They again get rolled out again on the NEXT correction! However the damage has been done as short stops are hit and losses accrued, that no broker will refund for the next crash call. You CANNOT know with any reliability that the stock market is going to crash until AFTER it has actually peaked and entered a downtrend. Anyone that tells you a bull market pushing to new highs is going to crash is going to lose you all your money, as the market rallying significantly from the crash call NEGATES THAT CALL where trading is concerned, because any short positions enacted upon the call are stopped out!

You can only enter a Crash TRADE barely a day or hours before the crash event. Crash calls made weeks, months or years in advance are WORTHLESS where trading is concerned, and where investing is concerned, all investors should have stops on their positions based on technical considerations of where they would admit their analysis is wrong on a particular stock.

Crash calls are dangerous in that bring emotions into play which instead of staying focused on reacting to price action, adrenaline gets traders to commit to positions that will soon most probably bust their accounts where EVEN if the market eventually does CRASH, they will have been wiped out by the intervening rally SINCE the crash call!

It is this fact that that is always forgotten. Go check ALL of the hyped stock and other market crash calls that in actual fact WERE FOLLOWED by moves that would have wiped out REAL trades had those calls been acted up on. In recent weeks I have been sharing a some of my trading ideas that I do not have the time to turn into a book. The key point is as I pointed out in the analysis of October So far the analysis is proving correct.

Good News Turns Bad - Stocks fell following strong US GDP data, which tells you that the market wants to head lower in the immediate future regardless of whether the news is good or bad, this supports the view that the market wants to break below the low.

Corporate Earnings - Corporate earnings have FOLLOWED the stock market higher, so what happened to the doomsayers of 6 months ago that repeatedly stated that corporate earnings forecasts implied stocks could NOT rally? ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - The elliott wave pattern is not clear, at best it resolves towards an ABC correction that sees an assault on and probable break.

TREND ANALYSIS - The Dow has now fallen to the major support trendline, which implies immediate term support, i. The question is will the trendline break or not? Its a tough call but I would go with yes, which would target As you can also see the stock market is losing momentum as the last rally failed to reach the second trendline which is suggestive of a tougher trend into year end, though also implying that the market is not as overbought in terms of trend.

Resistance over head is at 99,17, and PRICE TARGETS - Downside price targets resolve into the to zone. Upside trendline projection implies 10, into December.

MACD - The MACD continues to show negative divergence to the price, though this has been ongoing since late August which implies an unraveling of the overbought state. VOLUME - Volume has been WEAK during the rally, which contrary to much bearish commentary implies that this rally has NOT been bought into. So all of the talk of hyper bullishness is basically rubbish as there is no sign of such irrational exuberance in the volume, which remains heavier on the declines than the rallies and thus suggestive of selling rather than buying into the rally.

Which is good behaviour for a stealth bull market. SEASONAL TREND - There is a strong seasonal tendency for stocks to rally strongly during the months of November and December, following a weak September and October. The trend to date suggests right translation in the seasonal data i. All in all this is suggestive of a downtrend towards 9, into Mid November with a year end rally to back above 10, targeting a rally high in the region of 10, to 10, during December.

Inter market Implications - Suggestive of a mild dollar rally, and a mild uptrend for commodities. Terms of Use Privacy Policy. UK General Election Forecast: Theresa May to Resign, Fatal Error Was to Believe Worthless Opinion Polls!

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Rise Gold to Recommence Work at Idaho Maryland Mine After 60 Years - 14th Jun Stock Market Tech Shakeout! The 1 Gold Stock of - 14th Jun Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6, If you enjoy masochistic self torture, then by all means, start buying for a bull run.

To each his own. FTSE Trend Update Note - The FTSE is in synch with the Dow and therefore will follow a similar trend, i. Syrus 16 Mar 09, How to behave in a Bull Market? Hi Nadeem, Thank you for posting your "Stealth Bull Market Follows Dow Bear 6, Bottom" article. So here are a few questions: I'd appreciate any information, and thank you in advance for your time. Dave 16 Mar 09, Source of Target Figures? Hi Nadeem, I am a first-time investor who has been reading a huge amount without investing for about six months now.

I happen to find your articles the most interesting and insightful of any that I have read. Can you enlighten me at all? Inter-Market Hi Dave The forecasts are born out of accumulative ongoing inter market analysis and not a single piece of work.

Nick 18 Mar 09, Stock Market Truth Nadeem, thanks for your honesty, the average person that owns stocks has no clue. Mr Lemon 19 Mar 09, MJ 21 Mar 09, The Oracle Hi MJ The act of writing articles is an act of positive reinforcement for myself, it actually forces me to think deeper on the subject then I would otherwise have done had I solely focussed on just trading.

And offcourse I enjoy writing on the particular topics that grab my total attention. DOW BUY LEVELS first i was sceptical on your "only" bottom target but the idea of a stealth bull strikes me. Matt K 23 Mar 09, Your analysis is a GREAT! MIKE BRONZINO 24 Mar 09, DOW TARGETS DON'T KNOW WHO YOU ARE BUT YOUR ANALYSIS HAS BEEN OFF THE CHARTS GREAT. Mark 25 Mar 09, Excellent Analysis Dear Nadeem Excellent analysis! Gary 27 Mar 09, Book I will be sharing the trading methodology in a book, a one off, not a series etc.

The Book will teach you how to trade. Larry 30 Mar 09, Book I will purchase your book as soon as it,s published. Please notify when available. Nasaie 05 Apr 09, Dow Next Correction Well Nadeem,i miss the rally,i read your article too late.

Here is my latest update to the stocks stealth bull market, to make sure you get my key analysis and in your email inbox on the day of publication, ensure your subscribed to my FREE newsletter Stealth Stocks Bull Market, Sell in May and Go Away? To post a Comment on this article click here Want Pages of Forecasts and Analysis on ALL Major World Markets? Newsletter Schedule of in depth Analysis - UK Recession Forecast Update 1 - Last - Feb Gold Forecast - Update 1 - Last - Jan Stocks Stealth Bull Market - Significant Summer Correction?

Mohammed 20 May 09, I am very keen to know what your opinion is regarding cable. Currently its in the 1. Where do you see it going. Do you think cable is expected to downturn anytime soon to the high 1. Stocks stealth bull market quick update Stocks Stealth Bull Market Quick Update In response to a dozen email requests, this is a quick update to the ongoing Stocks Stealth Bull Market that began in early March Recap of the Stocks Stealth Bull Market Analysis 1.

Your stock index trading analyst By Nadeem Walayat http: Forecasts All forecasts are in the end of the day best guesses, however, watching what the manipulators are upto or want gives one insight.

Vicious Stocks Stealth Bull Market Eats the Bears Alive! Back to the stock market, let's dissect what happened, the precise point where the summer correction scenario abruptly terminated and where we are heading to next: Dow Hits Target The Dow hit the target on 2nd of June which was confirmed in the quick update at the timeand therefore expectations were for the significant correction to materialise.

Dow Gives Sell Signals During June and Early July Analysis of of 7th July - The Dow spent early June distributing along 8, which gave plenty of time to put on short positions with tight stops. Where Next for the Stock Market Near point moves spread over just over a week makes this a great traders market but is it still a forecasters market? So taking into account that this is a potentially very vicious market here is my analysis - Dow Analysis and Projection TREND ANALYSIS - The rally off of 8, has been strong and powerful and could carry for some more points before correcting.

Your stock index trading analyst. Stocks Bull Market Update - 24th August Stocks Bull Market Update - 24th August Stocks Stealth Bull Market Crushes Bears Hopes Again. Current Price Action The Price action to date has shown relative strength against the forecast of a month ago, this suggests a higher target than the original to 10K before the end of Octthe secondary stated target was 10, Financial Crisis Worst is Not Over?

Stock Market Crash Again? Stock Market Crash Calls 1. In recent weeks I have been sharing a some of my trading ideas that I do not have the time to turn into a book - Get in Synch with the Market Forecasting and Trading The Holy Grail of Trading How to Learn to Trade Don't Think Too Much Depression, What Depression?